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Will the Latino vote save Hillary Clinton and defeat Trump?

En Miami Herald / 4 noviembre, 2016

(Photo: Andrew Harnik – AP)

If Hillary Clinton wins the Nov. 8 elections, it will be because most Americans decided that it’s better to have a president who mishandles her emails than one whose mercurial personality would make it dangerous to put him in charge of the nuclear button.

Conversely, if Donald Trump wins the elections, it will be because Clinton is a non-charismatic politician, and because — after eight years of a Democrat in the White House — most Americans vote for a change, even if things are going relatively well in the country. Traditionally, in American politics, it is extremely difficult for the same party to win three elections in a row.

But, either way, the Hispanic vote — while very important — may not be the most critical factor in this election. This is because U.S. elections are decided by the electoral college, based on each state’s electoral votes, and not by the national popular vote.

If U.S. elections were decided by the popular vote, like in Europe or in Latin America, the 27.3 million eligible Hispanic voters in the country would be an almighty voting bloc. But the fact is that most U.S. Latinos live in states that are already solidly Democratic or solidly Republican and are not up for grabs.

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Andres Oppenheimer
Es el editor para América Latina y Columnista de “The Miami Herald,” conductor del programa “Oppenheimer Presenta” por CNN en Español, y autor de siete Best-Sellers. Su columna “El Informe Oppenheimer” es publicada regularmente en más de 60 periódicos de todo el mundo, incluidos “The Miami Herald” de EEUU, La Nación de Argentina, El Mercurio de Chile, El Comercio de Perú, y Reforma de México.




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