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Here’s how Trump can win

En Miami Herald / 2 julio, 2016

(Photo: Patrick Semansky – AP)

Here’s what Hillary Clinton should fear the most about the upcoming U.S. elections: a terrorist attack like the recent Orlando massacre shortly before the Nov. 8 election, which could sway the vote in Donald Trump’s favor.

Granted, the latest Fox News poll shows that presumptive Democratic candidate Clinton is beating Trump by a comfortable 6 percentage points. And election forecasting whiz Nate Silver has just written in his website FiveThirtyEight that Trump’s chances of winning in November are about 20 percent, which is pretty much what oddsmakers are saying.

But I’m afraid those numbers won’t mean much if a new terrorist incident shakes the country in the final stretch of the campaign and Trump turns on his demagogic anti-Muslim rhetoric, as he has in the aftermath of recent terrorist attacks in Orlando, Paris, Brussels and San Bernardino.

In the wake of the Dec. 2 terrorist attack in San Bernardino, Trump called for a “total and complete” ban on all Muslims entering the United States. Later, after a barrage of criticism for his remarks, he fine-tuned his proposal to call for a ban on Muslims from “terrorist countries.”

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Andres Oppenheimer
Es el editor para América Latina y Columnista de “The Miami Herald,” conductor del programa “Oppenheimer Presenta” por CNN en Español, y autor de siete Best-Sellers. Su columna “El Informe Oppenheimer” es publicada regularmente en más de 60 periódicos de todo el mundo, incluidos “The Miami Herald” de EEUU, La Nación de Argentina, El Mercurio de Chile, El Comercio de Perú, y Reforma de México.




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Cómo puede ganar Donald Trump

(Foto: Patrick Semansky - AP) Donald Trump está abajo en las encuestas, pero hay un detalle que muchos olvidan: si hay un ataque...

2 July, 2016